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Two students, Alice and Bob, forgot to put their names on their exam papers. The professor knows that Alice does well with probability 0.8, and
Two students, Alice and Bob, forgot to put their names on their exam papers. The professor knows that Alice does well with probability 0.8, and Bob does well with probability 0.4, independently of each other.
After grading, the professor notices that Alice and Bob forgot to put their names on their exams. One of their exams was done well and the other was done poorly. Given this information, and assuming that they worked independently of each other, what is the probability that the good exam belongs to Alice?
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