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Urn 1 contains 5 white balls and 7 black balls. Urn 2 contains 3 whites and 12 black. A fair coin is flipped; if it
Urn 1 contains 5 white balls and 7 black balls. Urn 2 contains 3 whites and 12 black. A fair coin is flipped; if it is Heads, a ball is drawn from Urn 1, and if it is Tails, a ball is drawn from Urn 2. Suppose that this experiment is done and you learn that a white ball was selected. What is the probability that this ball was in fact taken from Urn 2? (i.e., that the coin flip was Tails)
hint: fair coin flip is equivalent to assuming that th probability of selecting any URN is exactly 1/2. You need to calculate P(Second Urn| White Ball)
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