Question
-US bond interest rate: 5% -Turkish bond interest rate: 30% -One year ahead rate: 32 TL (valid price for Futures contract in BIST VIOP) -Spot
-US bond interest rate: 5%
-Turkish bond interest rate: 30%
-One year ahead rate: 32 TL (valid price for Futures contract in BIST VIOP) -Spot rate valid for today: 27 TL
1- According to the covered interest rate differential theory, would the US investor find it appropriate to invest in bonds in Turkey under these conditions?
2- Could it be better to invest with an exchange rate forecast (e t+1) instead of taking a position in the futures contract at the end of the investment period (1 year)? Discuss the reasons.
3- Explain how the equilibrium state (CD = 0) can be achieved under these conditions.
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