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U.S. Manufactured General Aviation ShiEments, 19342916 Year Planes Year Planes Fear Planes Year Planes 1984 3,851 1992 2,3?1 2999 4, 245 2998 4, 599 1985

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U.S. Manufactured General Aviation ShiEments, 19342916 Year Planes Year Planes Fear Planes Year Planes 1984 3,851 1992 2,3?1 2999 4, 245 2998 4, 599 1985 3,459 1993 2,394 2991 4,954 2999 3,915 1985 2,925 1994 2,358 2992 3, 53? 2919 2,?54 198? 2,515 1995 2,59? 2993 3, 55? 2911 2,?53 1988 2, 542 1995 2 , 545 2994 3, ?85 2912 2, 945 1989 2,955 199? 2,9?9 2995 4, 28? 2913 3,945 1999 2, 5 ?4 1998 3 , 539 2996 4, 5?? 2914 3, 951 1991 2, 451 1999 3 ,934 299? 4, ?99 2915 3, 922 le] Make a forecast for 2016 using a method of your choice {including a judgment forecast]. Justify your method. {Round your answer to the nearest whole numben} The two year moving average forecast for 2016 i5 |:| _

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