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USE STATA http://www.principlesofeconometrics.com/stata/sales.dta The file sales.dta contains 157 weekly observations on sales revenues ( sales ) and advertising expenditure ( adv ) in millions of
USE STATA
http://www.principlesofeconometrics.com/stata/sales.dta
The file sales.dta contains 157 weekly observations on sales revenues (sales) and advertising expenditure (adv) in millions of dollars for a large US department store for 2005-2007. The weeks are from December 28, 2004, to December 25, 2007.
- (a)Graph the series for sales. Does it appear to be stationary, trend stationary or stochastic?
- (b)Formally test for the presence of a unit root.
- (c)Examine the autocorrelation function and propose one or two possible models that may have generated the series.
- (d)Estimate the model(s) proposed in part (c).
- (e)Assess your model(s) using if possible formal tests and/or information criteria.
- (f)Estimate the model you deem most appropriate and estimate it again on the first 100 observations.
- (g)Generate forecasts for the next 57 observations, and plot forecasted and actual observations. Assess the goodness of the forecasting power of your model.
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