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Use the data in the following table showing cumulative default rates for years relative to the issuance of a bond. t=TIme in Years Relative to

Use the data in the following table showing cumulative default rates for years relative to the issuance of a bond.

t=TIme in Years Relative to Date of Issue

Rating

1 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20
Aaa 0.000 0.013 0.013 0.037 0.104 0.241 0.489 0.910 1.073
Aa 0.022 0.068 0.136 0.260 0.410 0.682 1.017 1.871 3.167
A 0.062 0.199 0.434 0.679 0.958 1.615 2.759 4.583 7.044
Baa 0.174 0.504 0.906 1.373 1.862 2.872 4.623 8.306 11.989
Ba 1.110 3.071 5.371 7.839 10.065 13.911 19.323 28.500 35.410
B 3.904 9.274 14.723 19.509 23.869 31.774 40.560 50.275 55.892
Caa_C 15.894 27.003 35.800 42.796 48.828 56.878 66.212 73.152 74.946

data in percent

What is the probability a Baa rated bond will survive past year 4?

Estimate the hazard rate (default intensity, image text in transcribed) of a Baa rated bond based on the 3-year cumulative default probability

Estimate the hazard rate (default intensity, image text in transcribed) of a Baa rated bond based on the 4-year cumulative default probability

Compute the probability of default for a Baa rated bond during year 4 given that the bond has not defaulted by the end of year 3

Explain why your answers in b. and c. are not the same as in d.

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