Use the following case to answer the questions below. Cite assumptions if necessary and you may round to $000’s.

ABC Company

Balance Sheet

                                                Actual December 31, 2019 (in $000’’s)

                        Assets                                                   Liabilities & Shareholders’ Equity

Cash                                                     $ 40,000            Accounts payable (days 35)   $ 9,200

Accounts receivable (days 90)               46,850            Long-term debt                      30,800

Inventory (days 50)                               13,150                                                                              

Buildings and equipment                   150,000

Accumulated amortization—

      Buildings and equipment               (50,000)          Common shares                   100,000

                                                                                          Retained earnings                  60,000

                                                             $200,000                                                          $200,000

ABC Company

Forecasted Balance Sheet

December 31, 2020 (in $000’s)

                        Assets                                                      Liabilities & Shareholders’ Equity

Cash                                                       $ 9,300            Accounts payable (days 47) $ 13,000

Accounts receivable (days 95)               52,000            Long-term debt                       42,000

Inventory (days 50)                               13,700

Buildings and equipment                   205,000

Accumulated amortization—

     Buildings and equipment                (55,000)          Common shares                   100,000

                                                                                          Retained earnings                  70,000

                                                             $225,000                                                          $225,000

During 2020, ABC Company (ABC) is expected to have a net income of $20,000,000 and has a 50% dividend payout ratio. The company desires to have a minimum cash level of $10,000,000. This goal was 5% of its 2019 total assets. Cash has not been adjusted in the forecast for 2020. Depreciation and amortization of $5,000,000, new equipment purchases of $55,000,000 and interest expense of $2,000,000 was included in the 2020 forecast. The condensed income statements for forecasted 2020 and actual 2019 are as follows (in $000’s):

                                                                                                            2020               2019

`                                               Sales                                                  $200,000       $190,000

                                                Cost of sales (variable COGS)      ( 80,000)        ( 76,000)

                                                Fixed costs in COGS (incl. Dep)   ( 20,000)        ( 20,000)

Other Fixed costs (incl. Interest)   ( 60,000)        ( 60,000)

                                                            Taxes                                     ( 20,000)       ( 16,000)

                                                            Net income                            $ 20,000        $ 18,000                                                       

XYZ Company (XYZ) is considering buying ABC Company for $180,000,000 to $200,000,000 at the beginning of 2020. XYZ financing of the purchase is outside the scope of this case. Also, the price of the company should not be more than 4 times Earnings before Interest Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA).

The CFO of XYZ will only recommend buying if ABC has positive operating cash flows, maintains a current ratio of minimum 1:1, has a maximum interest-bearing debt to equity ratio of 0.3:1, has reasonable cash levels and other key operating ratios are trending positively. XYZ requires a 10% WACC in accepting investments and at least a 13.33% return for equity holders. The XYZ CFO thinks, as well, that maintaining a cash level of 45 days fixed costs could be prudent for ABC Company and/or a line of credit should be pursued.

Question 

1. Prepare a ratio analysis for ABC Company calculating four (4) relevant ratios for 2019 and 2020, and separately, analyze the impact of “days” in 2020 versus 2019. Note: the ratios must address potential XYZ Company’s CFO concerns to be relevant.
2. Discuss how ABC Company’s performance matches potential investor expectations?
3. What is the EBITDA-based intrinsic value of ABC Company using 2020 data? What is the EBITDA margin trend (EBITDA divided by sales)?
4. Overall, is the financial state of ABC Company, improving, deteriorating or stable and why, and would you buy ABC Company. Note: only use the data you calculated in this question.