Question
Use the following information for questions 10-15. A firm has the following expected free cash flows (note: all cash flows and values are expected, or
Use the following information for questions 10-15.
A firm has the following expected free cash flows (note: all cash flows and values are expected, or Probability-weighted cash flows). All figures are in $MM. Free Cash Flow is projected to grow at a 5% steady state rate starting in year 5. Similar firms have a beta of 3.0, the risk free rate is 4% and the market risk premium is 5%. Net income in year 5 is projected to be $48 million, and the P/E multiple for comparable firms is 12x. You are considering investing $40 MM in the firm, and estimate a failure rate of 40% in year 5.
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
FCF | 2.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 40 | 60 |
10. What is the postmoney valuation assuming you use the constant growth (i.e. growing perpetuity) method for the terminal value estimate and also use the probability failure adjustment?
11. What % ownership should you ask for based on your answer in #10?
12. What is the premoney valuation based on your answer in #10?
13. What is the postmoney valuation assuming you use the multiples method for the terminal value estimate?
14. What % ownership should you ask for based on your answer in #13?
15. What is the premoney valuation based on your answer in #13?
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