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UseBaye's theorem to find the indicated probability. Some employers use lie detector tests to screen job applicants. Lie detector tests are not completely reliable. Suppose

UseBaye's theorem to find the indicated probability.

Some employers use lie detector tests to screen job applicants. Lie detector tests are not completely reliable. Suppose that in a lie detectortest, 66% of lies are identified as lies and that 16% of true statements are also identified as lies. A company gives its job applicants a polygraphtest, asking"Did you tell the truth on your jobapplication?". Suppose that 91% of the job applicants tell the truth during the polygraph test. What is the probability that a person who fails the test was actually telling thetruth?

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