Question: Using historical risk premiums from Table 5.5 over the 1927-2018 period as your guide, what would be your estimate of the expected annual HPR

Using historical risk premiums from Table 5.5 over the 1927-2018 period as
your guide, what would be your estimate of the expected annual HPR

Using historical risk premiums from Table 5.5 over the 1927-2018 period as your guide, what would be your estimate of the expected annual HPR on the Big/Value portfolio if the current risk-free interest rate is 3%? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Expected annual HPR % A. 1927-2018 Mean excess return (annualized) Standard deviation (annualized) Sharpe ratio Lower partial SD (annualized) Skew Kurtosis VaR (1%) actual (monthly) returns VaR (1%) normal distribution % of monthly returns more than 3 SD below mean Expected shortfall (monthly) B. 1952-2018 Mean excess return (annualized) Standard deviation (annualized) Sharpe ratio Lower partial SD (annualized) Skew Kurtosis VaR (1%) actual (monthly) returns VaR (1%) normal distribution % of monthly returns more than 3 SD below mean Expected shortfall (monthly) Market Index 8.29 18.52 0.45 21.68 0.19 7.85 -13.61 - 11.79 0.94% - 19.60 7.60 14.76 0.52 17.25 -0.54 1.95 -10.71 -9.28 0.62% -18.85 Big/Growth 8.07 18.35 0.44 21.10 -0.11 5.63 -14.48 -11.69 0.75% - 19.80 7.46 15.37 0.49 17.14 -0.38 1.84 - 10.94 -9.70 0.66% -17.78 Big/Value 11.69 24.70 0.47 25.44 1.63 18.43 - 19.40 -15.69 0.85% -23.87 10.04 16.42 0.61 17.60 -0.32 2.25 - 12.26 - 10.19 1.06% -21.16 Small/Growth Small/Value 8.99 26.06 0.34 28.95 0.68 7.85 -20.48 -16.80 0.85% -24.67 7.17 22.13 0.32 23.81 -0.41 2.11 -16.96 -14.26 0.93% -24.11 15.38 28.21 0.55 26.18 2.18 22.32 -20.57 -17.78 0.57% -25.33 13.16 18.41 0.71 18.26 -0.34 3.44 - 14.97 -11.27 1.19% -24.45 Table 5.5 Statistics for monthly excess returns on the market index and four "style" portfolios Source: Authors' calculations using data from Prof. Kenneth French's web site: http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/ data_library.html.

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