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Using the Excel Template (Attached screenshots of the template) and the information provided in the Project 1 description Below, construct an Excel-based model and determine

Using the Excel Template (Attached screenshots of the template) and the information provided in the Project 1 description Below, construct an Excel-based model and determine the base-case NPVs for each alternative.

The following information was obtained from subject matter experts for this Go/NoGo decision.

  1. Time horizon of analysis is 2020 2025. The discount rate is 9%.
  2. Market Size is a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) model (see figure below), beginning in 2020 and ending in 2025.
    1. Initial Market Size in the year 2020 10-50-90 values are 2, 3, and 4 million units.
    2. CAGR for Market Size 10-50-90 values are -5%, 10%, and 20%.
  3. Market Share 10-50-90 values are 25%, 50%, and 75%, for the Go strategy in the years 2020-2025.
  4. Units Sold = Market Size Market Share, for the Go strategy.
  5. Pricing for the Go strategy is a linear growth model (see figure below), beginning in 2020 and ending in 2025.
    1. Initial price in year 2020 is $20 per unit.
    2. Final Price 10-50-90 values in year 2025 are $20 per unit, $25 per unit, and $30 per unit.
  6. Costs for the Go strategy 10-50-90 values are $30 million per year, $40 million per year, and $50 million per year in the years 2020-2025.
  7. Revenue = Pricing Units Sold, for the Go strategy.
  8. Cash Flow = Revenue - Costs.

Linear growth model:

y = y1 + (y2 - y1) / (x2 - x1) * (Year - x1)

CAGR model:

y = y1 (1 + CAGR)^(Year - x1)

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