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Using the following methods forecast for all possible periods. Show the graph of actual and forecast Moving average (you need to find the best value

  1. Using the following methods forecast for all possible periods. Show the graph of actual and forecast

Moving average (you need to find the best value for n) Can you help me choose and explain the best value for n ), please?

Linear trend (trend projection)

Linear regression ( sorry can make the forecast)???

2. Discuss which method fits best for the bank strategic plan to forecast the number of new accounts. You need to justify the selection of one method over another ( Can you help me explain each method (benefits and disadvantages, why it is the best , why the rest other are not chosen)discuss the pros and cons of each method, why and why not it could meet the characteristics of a 5-year strategy. I am still confused alot.

3. Do you think that the exclusion of a part of data (for example, the first 5-10 years) would affect the accuracy of the forecast?(If we exclude data from roughly the first 10-15 years, the forecasts for the later years would likely be considerably more accurate. The exclusion of this data, however, might not change our choice of the forecasting model) This is my opinion. Briefly explain. Would such exclusion change your choice of the forecasting method in Question 2? Briefly explain

Can you help me explain more specific and give me evidences for explanation to make me clear more?

can you attach your excel file to make me clear more?

I am very confused this case alot.

image text in transcribed
Bank Account Forecast A well-known commercial bank in Australia is interested in estimating the number of new bank accounts opened by customers each year. The number of new accounts opened in this bank has increased slowly over years even during the global financial crisis (20082009). Top management strongly believes that they need a long-term strategic plan for the bank which is a 5-year forecast for the number of new accounts opened. To achieve this aim, the bank operations manager examined past account data and also extracted the employment rate over 30 years (1991-2020). The resulting data are shown in below table: No of new Employment No of new Employment Year Rate % Year Rate % 1991 3.136 90.42 2006 6.00? 95.22 1992 3.309 89.2? 200? 5.826 95.62 1993 3.803 89.13 2008 8.266 95.?? 1994 6.80? 90.28 2009 ?.128 94.44 1995 2.386 91.53 2010 9.6?0 94.?9 1996 4.643 91.49 2011 11.419 94.92 199? 2.911 91.64 2012 11.335 94.?8 1998 2.553 92.32 2013 9.358 94.34 1999 4.422 93.13 2014 10.418 93.92 2000 3.613 93.?2 2015 10.459 93.95 2001 3.948 93.26 2016 ?.328 94.29 2002 3.34? 93.63 201? 9.004 94.41 2003 3.90? 94.0? 2018 8.559 94.?0 2004 4.0?1 94.60 2019 8.4?6 94.84 2005 6.666 94.9? 2020 8.635 93.39 1. Using the following methods forecast for all possible periods. Show the graph of actual and forecast a. Moving average (you need to nd the best value for n) b. Linear trend (trend projection) c. Linear regression 2. Discuss which method ts best for the bank strategic plan to forecast the number of new accounts. You need to justify the selection of one method over another 3. Do you think that the exclusion of a part of data (for example, the rst 5-10 years) would affect the accuracy of the forecast? Briey explain. Would such exclusion change your choice of the forecasting method in Question 2'? Briey explain

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