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Using the spreadsheet information presented next, and the modified equations determined in question 8 earlier, extend the forecast for R&E Supplies contained in Table 3.5
Using the spreadsheet information presented next, and the modified equations determined in question 8 earlier, extend the forecast for R&E Supplies contained in Table 3.5 through 2019. | ||||
What is R&E's projected external financing required in 2019? How does this number compare to the 2018 projection? | ||||
Perform a sensitivity analysis on this projection. How does R&E's projected external financing required change if the ratio of cost of goods sold to net sales declines from 86.0 percent to 84.0 percent? | ||||
Perform a scenario analysis on this projection. How does R&E's projected external financing required change if a severe recession occurs in 2019? Assume net sales decline 5 percent, cost of goods sold rises to 88 percent of net sales due to price cutting, and current assets increase to 35 percent of net sales as management fails to cut purchases promptly in response to declining sales. | ||||
R&E SUPPLIES | ||||
Facts and assumptions ($ thousands) | ||||
Actual | Forecast | Forecast | ||
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | ||
Net sales | $20,613 | |||
Growth rate in sales | 25% | 30% | ||
Cost of goods sold/net sales | 86% | 86% | ||
Gen., sell., and admin. expense/net sales | 12% | 11% | ||
Long-term debt | $760 | $660 | $560 | |
Current portion long-term debt | $100 | $100 | $100 | |
Interest rate | 10% | 10% | ||
Tax rate | 45% | 45% | ||
Dividend/earnings after tax | 50% | 50% | ||
Current assets/net sales | 29% | 29% | ||
Net fixed assets | $280 | $270 | ||
Current liabilities/net sales | 14.5% | 14.4% | ||
Owners' equity | $1,730 | |||
INCOME STATEMENT ($ thousands) | ||||
Forecast | Forecast | |||
Year | 2018 | 2019 | ||
Net sales | $25,766 | |||
Cost of goods sold | 22,159 | |||
Gross profit | 3,607 | |||
General, selling, and administrative expense | 3,092 | |||
Interest expense | 231 | |||
Earnings before tax | 285 | |||
Tax | 128 | |||
Earnings after tax | 156 | |||
Dividends paid | 78 | |||
Additions to retained earnings | 78 | |||
BALANCE SHEET (thousands) | ||||
Current assets | $7,472 | |||
Net fixed assets | 280 | |||
Total assets | 7,752 | |||
Current liabilities | 3,736 | |||
Long-term debt | 660 | |||
Equity | 1,808 | |||
Total liabilities and owners' equity | 6,204 | |||
External funding required | $1,548 | |||
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