Question
Using the theory of purchasing power parity and forecasts of expected inflation over the next year, forecast the spot exchange rate for the above for
Using the theory of purchasing power parity and forecasts of expected inflation over the next year, forecast the spot exchange rate for the above for one year in the future.
S2 = S1 1+ Expected (Annual Foreign Inflation)1+ Expected (Annual US Inflation)
Or
where S1 = Current spot rate expressed in European terms S2 = Spot rate in one year expressed in European terms
$ = Annual US Inflation Rate (use 1.8%)
= Annual Foreign Inflation Rate
Utilize the following data:
S1 = Current spot rate in one year expressed in European terms from above.
Foreign Countrys Inflation rate: Here you are to use the GDP deflator (annual %) from MNE Part I worksheet.
US Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %) of 1.8%.
Australian Inflation = 2.8%
Ugandan Inflation = 2.5%
1 Australian dollar = 0.635 USD
1 USD = 1.57 Australian dollars
1 Ugandan Schilling = 0.00027 USD
1 USD = 3771.63 Ugandan Schilling
In the space below, Show your calculations in the box below for Country A and Country B. And respond to the questions posed in each section.
Be Sure to Convert % (Percentages) to decimals in your calculations!!
Country A: Australia
Future Spot Rate in One Year Based on Estimated Inflation Rates For full and complete credit, show the initial equation (i.e. formula) and identify each variable and the value for each variable in the equation. Do not provide just the final answer |
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Country B: Uganda
Future Spot Rate in One Year Based on Estimated Inflation Rates For full and complete credit, show the initial equation (i.e. formula) and identify each variable and the value for each variable in the equation. Do not provide just the final answer. |
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