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Values for the NASDAQ Composite index during the 50 days preceding March 10, 2006, can be downloaded from the authors website. Calculate the one-day 99%

Values for the NASDAQ Composite index during the 50 days preceding March 10, 2006, can be downloaded from the authors website. Calculate the one-day 99% VaR, and one-day 99% ES on March 10, 2006, for a $10 million portfolio invested in the index using: (a) The basic historical simulation approach. (b) The exponential weighting scheme in Section 13.3.1 with = 0.995. 1 (c) The volatility-scaling procedures in Sections 13.3.2 and 13.3.3 with = 0.94 (assume that the inital variance when EWMA is applied is the sample variance). (d) Extreme value theory with u = 300 and equal weightings. (e) A model where daily returns are assumed to be normally distributed with mean zero (use both an equally weighted approach and the EWMA approach with = 0.94 to estimate the standard deviation of daily returns.). Discuss the reasons for the differences between the results you get.

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These are the values:

Date NASDAQ Close
10-Mar-06 2262.04
9-Mar-06 2249.72
8-Mar-06 2267.46
7-Mar-06 2268.38
6-Mar-06 2286.03
3-Mar-06 2302.6
2-Mar-06 2311.11
1-Mar-06 2314.64
28-Feb-06 2281.39
27-Feb-06 2307.18
24-Feb-06 2287.04
23-Feb-06 2279.32
22-Feb-06 2283.17
21-Feb-06 2262.96
17-Feb-06 2282.36
16-Feb-06 2294.63
15-Feb-06 2276.43
14-Feb-06 2262.17
13-Feb-06 2239.81
10-Feb-06 2261.88
9-Feb-06 2255.87
8-Feb-06 2266.98
7-Feb-06 2244.96
6-Feb-06 2258.8
3-Feb-06 2262.58
2-Feb-06 2281.57
1-Feb-06 2310.56
31-Jan-06 2305.82
30-Jan-06 2306.78
27-Jan-06 2304.23
26-Jan-06 2283
25-Jan-06 2260.65
24-Jan-06 2265.25
23-Jan-06 2248.47
20-Jan-06 2247.7
19-Jan-06 2301.81
18-Jan-06 2279.64
17-Jan-06 2302.69
13-Jan-06 2317.04
12-Jan-06 2316.69
11-Jan-06 2331.36
10-Jan-06 2320.32
9-Jan-06 2318.69
6-Jan-06 2305.62
5-Jan-06 2276.87
4-Jan-06 2263.46
3-Jan-06 2243.74
30-Dec-05 2205.32
29-Dec-05 2218.16
28-Dec-05 2228.94

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