Question
Vehicle Type/Class (Qualitative) Year (Quantitative) Make (Qualitative) Model (Qualitative) Price (Quantitative) MPG (city) (Quantitative) MPG (highway) (Quantitative) Sports Car 2021 Aston Martin V8 VantageRoadster $214,320
Vehicle Type/Class (Qualitative)
Year (Quantitative)
Make (Qualitative)
Model (Qualitative)
Price (Quantitative)
MPG (city) (Quantitative)
MPG (highway) (Quantitative)
Sports Car
2021
Aston Martin
V8 VantageRoadster
$214,320
18 Miles
24 Miles
Sports Car
2020
Lamborghini
Huracan EVO
$294,840.00
13 Miles
18 Miles
Sports Car
2020
Ferrari
488 Pista Spider
$699,950.00
15 Miles
19 Miles
SVU
2021
GMC
Yukon Denali
$81,825.00
14 Miles
19 Miles
SVU
2021
Cadillac
Escalade Sport
$99,015.00
14 Miles
19 Miles
SVU
2018
Mercedes-Benz
GLE 43 AMG 4MATIC Coupe
$67,777.00
17 Miles
22 Miles
Sedan
2021
Lexus
ES 250
$45,430.00
25 Miles
34 Miles
Sedan
2018
Honda
Accord
$21,987.00
30 Miles
38 Miles
Sedan
2020
Audi
A8 L 3.0T
$99,245.00
17 Miles
26 Miles
2021
Bentley
Bentayga
$205,999.00
15 Miles
24 Miles
The average price of vehicles is$183,039
Now let us count how many of these vehicles have less price than the average price.
There are6vehicles having a price less than the average.
p=nx=106=0.6
Therefore, the probability of success (p) is0.6
The probability of failure (q) is given by
q=1p=10.6=0.4
Therefore, the probability of failure (q) is0.4
Recall that thebinomial probability distributionis given by
P(x)=nCxpxqnx
Wherenis the number of trials,xis the favorable outcome andpis the probability of success.
nCxis the number of possible combinations (choosexobjects from a total ofnobjects)
For the given case, we have
p = 0.6
q = 0.4
n = 10
a)If you were to find another random sample of 10 cars based on the same data, what is the probability that exactly 4of them will fall
below the average?
Exactly 4 meansx = 4
P(x=4)=10C40.640.4104P(x=4)=2100.640.46P(x=4)=0.1115
Therefore, the probability thatexactly 4of them will fall below the average is0.1115
This means there is an11.15%chance thatexactly 4of the vehicles will have a price below the average price.
b)If you were to find another random sample of 10 cars based on the same data, what is the probability that fewer than 5of them will fall below the average?
Fewer than 5 meansx = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4
P(x<5)=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)+P(x=3+P(x=4)
P(x=0)=10C00.600.4100P(x=0)=0.00011
P(x=1)=10C10.610.4101P(x=1)=0.00157
P(x=2)=10C20.620.4102P(x=2)=0.01062
P(x=3)=10C30.630.4103P(x=3)=0.04247
We have already calculated the probability for x = 4 in the previous part
P(x<5)=0.00011+0.00157+0.01062+0.04247+0.1115P(x<5)=0.1663
Therefore, the probability thatfewer than 5of them will fall below the average is0.1663
This means there is a16.63%chance thatfewer than 5of the vehicles will have a price below the average price.
c)If you were to find another random sample of 10 cars based on the same data, what is the probability that more than 6of them will fall below the average?
More than 6 meansx = 7, 8, 9, 10
P(x>6)=P(x=7)+P(x=8)+P(x=9)+P(x=10
P(x=7)=10C70.670.4107P(x=7)=0.21499
P(x=8)=10C80.680.4108P(x=8)=0.12093
P(x=9)=10C90.690.4109P(x=9)=0.04031
P(x=10)=10C100.6100.41010P(x=10)=0.00605
P(x>6)=0.21499+0.12093+0.04031+0.00605P(x>6)=0.3823
Therefore, the probability thatmore than 6of them will fall below the average is0.3823
This means there is a38.23%chance thatmore than 6of the vehicles will have a price below the average price.
d)If you were to find another random sample of 10 cars based on the same data, what is the probability that at least 4of them will fall
below the average?
At least 4 means equal to or greater than 4
x = 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Alternatively, we can find the probabilities forx = 0, 1, 2, 3and subtract the result from 1 since this approach will take fewer calculations.
P(x4)=1P(x<4)
P(x<4)=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)+P(x=3)
We have alreadycalculated the probabilities for x = 0, 1, 2, 3 in the previous parts.
P(x<4)=0.00011+0.00157+0.01062+0.04247P(x<4)=0.05477
Finally, the probability is
P(x4)=1P(x<4)P(x4)=10.05477P(x4)=0.9452
Therefore, the probability thatat least 4of them will fall below the average is0.9452
This means there is a94.52%chance thatat least 4of the vehicles will have a price below the average price.
Image source: geeksforgeeks
Using the data set you collected in Week 1, excluding the supercar outlier, you should have calculated the mean and standard deviation during Week 2 forpricedata.
Along with finding apandqfrom Week 3.
Using this information, calculate two 95% confidence intervals.
For the first interval, you need to calculate a T-confidence interval for the sample population.
You have the mean, standard deviation, and sample size, all you have left to find is the T-critical value and you can calculate the interval.
For the second interval calculate a proportion confidence interval using the proportion of the number of cars that fall below the average.
You have thep,q, andn, all that is left is calculating a Z-critical value,
Make sure you include these values in your post, so your fellow classmates can use them to calculate their own confidence intervals.
Once you calculate the confidence intervals you will need to interpret your interval and explain what this means in words.
Do the confidence intervals surprise you, knowing what you have learned about confidence intervals, proportions, and normal distribution?
Please theWeek 5 Confidence T-Interval Mean and Unknown SD PDFand theWeek 5 Confidence Interval Proportions PDFat the bottom of the discussion.
This will give you a step-by-step example of how to help you calculate this using Excel.
These PDFs will also help you in Quizzes section.
Once you have posted your initial discussion, you must reply to at least two other learner's post.
Each post must be a different topic.
So, you will have your initial post from one topic, your first follow-up post from a different topic, and your second follow-up post from one of the other topics.
Of course, you are more than welcome to respond to more than two learners."
Instructions:Youmust respond to at least 2 other students. Responses may include direct questions.
In your first peer posts, pick another confidence level, i.e. 90%, 99%, 97%, any other confidence level is fine.
Have fun and be creative with it and calculate another T-confidence interval and interpret your results.
Compare your results to that of the initial 95%, how much do they differ?
How useful can this type of information be when you go to buy a new car or even a house?
In your second peer post, pick another confidence level, i.e. 90%, 99%, 97%, any other confidence level is fine.
Have fun and be creative with it and calculate another proportion interval and interpret your results.
Compare your results to that of the initial 95%, how much do they differ?
How useful can this type of information be when you go to buy a new car or even a house?
Make sure you include your data set in your initial post as well.
In this discussion, you should be calculating 4 total confidence intervals.
Two T-confidence intervals and Two proportion confidence intervals.
Two in your initial post and then one in each of your response posts.
Week 5 Confidence T-Intervals Mean and Unknown SD.pdf
Week 5 Confidence Intervals Proportions.pdf
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