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Ventisei Company is considering a project with a life of two years and an initial cash outflow of $10,000,000. The WACC of the company is

Ventisei Company is considering a project with a life of two years and an initial cash outflow of $10,000,000. The WACC of the company is 11.25%. The probability distribution of cash inflow for the first year of the project is given below:

Economic Condition of the Industry

Probability

Estimate Cash inflow

Good

70%

$9,000,000

Bad

30%

$3,000,000

If the expected cash flow in the first year becomes $9,000,000, the probability distribution of cash inflow in the second year is given in the table below:

Economic Condition of the Industry

Probability

Estimate Cash inflow in (000)

Good

60%

$8,000,000

Bad

40%

$4,000,000

If the expected cash flow in the first year becomes $3,000,000, the probability distribution of cash inflow in the second year is given below:

Economic Condition of the Industry

Probability

Estimate Cash inflow in (000)

Good

20%

$7,000,000

Bad

80%

$3,500,000

What is the expected NPV of this project? Is the project accepted? Please explain.

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