View ch Share - AA 1. ALEX All 16 o at $. % De- Can etting Toys UPDATES AVAILABLE Office + . 0.00 Yew with 2. 1 w WWW . SP PEN SH 61 4 11 - 1 tot Instructions This name and custom the best formats Lot 7 4 11 9 7 7471 11 THEO 19 N 100 190 TOT LEGI TY mm ww 13 212111 w 1 11 RE UD Star- WS Holt's Analysis Format Chipboard Font Alignment UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps P22 X Fit Formatting Table Styles Styles Number Update now CH MV 12 20 21 D 790 007 0547 19.17 N 0 --- 1 2 23 830 344.22 16360 102 024 175 1187 4322 23252 040 3648 160 10101 1705 402 60:40 6.03 17 6607 2.IN SON 654 17 as 3304 42.16 5113 1.00 200 01 151 med to put in the powered the 1.Chestul de recome were the the and her Det hange w these Chich war with the cheesshebe N Overall MAD S818 MAP MEA 30 Chefort 14 Ger Amand Fast 1 M 540 594 611 745 720 650 745 650 773 40 41 42 43 44 . I 1 =: M M 824 200 Static Analysis Static Analysis Winter Analyse Holt's Analysis Ready o & S3F Type here to search O a $ UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps Update now P22 B C D F H M N 31 12 Guather Feed Wean D. 2. Forest 1 35 30 31 30 IV 40 M 1 41 42 43 44 45 40 47 40 48 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 549 504 611 745 720 650 745 650 773 720 024 790 807 790 924 960 --- Static Analysis Static Analysis - 2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Ready a C 3 utoSave Olt Homework 18 week - Excel Search Help General le Home Insert Draw Page Layout Formulas Data Review View X Calibri 11 ' ' 2 Wrap Text aste BIU HOA Merge & Center ipboard Font Alignment UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps 22 x & fx $ - % 94 5 Number Update now B D E F G H L M Absolute Squared Absolure Percentage Error Emer Quarter Test with Samk E. Forecast F, En Period Iemand D Period . Emor Bias 1 - ZEE 549 594 611 745 728 650 745 650 773 ONO DONN 2 572.98 592.36 611.73 631.11 650.48 669 86 689.23 208.60 727.98 747.25 756.73 786.10 BOS 47 1 7 19.37 19.37 19.37 19.37 1937 19.37 19.37 19.37 19 37 19.37 19.37 19 37 19 37 1 728 10 11 12 1 0 11 M 1 824 790 807 796 924 969 1.0 32485 34422 863 50 382.97 17.35 43.22 60.40 -3603 318.57 2325.42 3648.55 740101 17.85 43.22 50.40 8603 221% 6,06% 5.54 8.885 17.85 66.07 5.57 -80.35 17235 33.04 42.16 53.13 29 01 -19 3 24 ES 26 27 28 29 Overalt MAD 53.15 MAPE 5.925 ME 3423 39 30 21 Static Analysis Static Analysis - 2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Ready M N N P 0 R S T V w riod TS Instructions This is a sample and actual Holt's forecast. Your goal is to create the best possible forecast for quarters HIV of Year 5. 1. Use the spinner buttons to experiment with the Sample Holt's forecast. Find the cand B values that minimize MAD. 1.00 2.00 7.85 3.04 2.16 3.13 2. Move to the Actual Holt's forecast and calculate level and trend for t=0. You'll need to put in the time period values before doing this. 3. Continuing with the Actual Holt's forecast calculate level and trend for all subsequent time periods. Use the cand cells referenced in the sample forecast. Do not change these values. 4. Now create the forecase for Year 5. 5. Check you work with the check figures shown below. 0.13 -1.51 Check figures for Actual Holt's forecastit =B=0 L=560.70 7.-21.41 . - G H K IL M N 824.85 844.22 17.85 48.22 -60.40 -86.03 318.57 17.85 2325.42 48.22 3648.55 60.40 7401.01 86.03 2.2196 6.06% 6.5496 8.8896 17.85 66.07 5.67 -80.36 17.85 33.04 42.16 53.13 1.00 2.00 0.13 -1.51 MOVE need to 3. Contin subseque Do not ch 4. Now ci 5. Check 863.60 882.97 Overall MAD 53.13 MAPE 5.9296 MSE 3423.39 Check figu L=560,70 To=21.41 Forecast F. --2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Quarter Period Pemand. O L. T. Forecast. F. 1 HI IV 1 V 1 1 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 549 594 611 745 728 650 745 650 773 728 824 790 807 796 924 969 DI III MV 1 II INI 1 11 CO View ch Share - AA 1. ALEX All 16 o at $. % De- Can etting Toys UPDATES AVAILABLE Office + . 0.00 Yew with 2. 1 w WWW . SP PEN SH 61 4 11 - 1 tot Instructions This name and custom the best formats Lot 7 4 11 9 7 7471 11 THEO 19 N 100 190 TOT LEGI TY mm ww 13 212111 w 1 11 RE UD Star- WS Holt's Analysis Format Chipboard Font Alignment UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps P22 X Fit Formatting Table Styles Styles Number Update now CH MV 12 20 21 D 790 007 0547 19.17 N 0 --- 1 2 23 830 344.22 16360 102 024 175 1187 4322 23252 040 3648 160 10101 1705 402 60:40 6.03 17 6607 2.IN SON 654 17 as 3304 42.16 5113 1.00 200 01 151 med to put in the powered the 1.Chestul de recome were the the and her Det hange w these Chich war with the cheesshebe N Overall MAD S818 MAP MEA 30 Chefort 14 Ger Amand Fast 1 M 540 594 611 745 720 650 745 650 773 40 41 42 43 44 . I 1 =: M M 824 200 Static Analysis Static Analysis Winter Analyse Holt's Analysis Ready o & S3F Type here to search O a $ UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps Update now P22 B C D F H M N 31 12 Guather Feed Wean D. 2. Forest 1 35 30 31 30 IV 40 M 1 41 42 43 44 45 40 47 40 48 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 549 504 611 745 720 650 745 650 773 720 024 790 807 790 924 960 --- Static Analysis Static Analysis - 2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Ready a C 3 utoSave Olt Homework 18 week - Excel Search Help General le Home Insert Draw Page Layout Formulas Data Review View X Calibri 11 ' ' 2 Wrap Text aste BIU HOA Merge & Center ipboard Font Alignment UPDATES AVAILABLE Updates for Office are ready to be installed, but first we need to close some apps 22 x & fx $ - % 94 5 Number Update now B D E F G H L M Absolute Squared Absolure Percentage Error Emer Quarter Test with Samk E. Forecast F, En Period Iemand D Period . Emor Bias 1 - ZEE 549 594 611 745 728 650 745 650 773 ONO DONN 2 572.98 592.36 611.73 631.11 650.48 669 86 689.23 208.60 727.98 747.25 756.73 786.10 BOS 47 1 7 19.37 19.37 19.37 19.37 1937 19.37 19.37 19.37 19 37 19.37 19.37 19 37 19 37 1 728 10 11 12 1 0 11 M 1 824 790 807 796 924 969 1.0 32485 34422 863 50 382.97 17.35 43.22 60.40 -3603 318.57 2325.42 3648.55 740101 17.85 43.22 50.40 8603 221% 6,06% 5.54 8.885 17.85 66.07 5.57 -80.35 17235 33.04 42.16 53.13 29 01 -19 3 24 ES 26 27 28 29 Overalt MAD 53.15 MAPE 5.925 ME 3423 39 30 21 Static Analysis Static Analysis - 2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Ready M N N P 0 R S T V w riod TS Instructions This is a sample and actual Holt's forecast. Your goal is to create the best possible forecast for quarters HIV of Year 5. 1. Use the spinner buttons to experiment with the Sample Holt's forecast. Find the cand B values that minimize MAD. 1.00 2.00 7.85 3.04 2.16 3.13 2. Move to the Actual Holt's forecast and calculate level and trend for t=0. You'll need to put in the time period values before doing this. 3. Continuing with the Actual Holt's forecast calculate level and trend for all subsequent time periods. Use the cand cells referenced in the sample forecast. Do not change these values. 4. Now create the forecase for Year 5. 5. Check you work with the check figures shown below. 0.13 -1.51 Check figures for Actual Holt's forecastit =B=0 L=560.70 7.-21.41 . - G H K IL M N 824.85 844.22 17.85 48.22 -60.40 -86.03 318.57 17.85 2325.42 48.22 3648.55 60.40 7401.01 86.03 2.2196 6.06% 6.5496 8.8896 17.85 66.07 5.67 -80.36 17.85 33.04 42.16 53.13 1.00 2.00 0.13 -1.51 MOVE need to 3. Contin subseque Do not ch 4. Now ci 5. Check 863.60 882.97 Overall MAD 53.13 MAPE 5.9296 MSE 3423.39 Check figu L=560,70 To=21.41 Forecast F. --2 Winter's Analysis Holt's Analysis Quarter Period Pemand. O L. T. Forecast. F. 1 HI IV 1 V 1 1 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 549 594 611 745 728 650 745 650 773 728 824 790 807 796 924 969 DI III MV 1 II INI 1 11 CO