vity: Project risk analysis Video Excel Online Structured Activity: Project risk analysis The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each costs $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project cash flows begin 1 year after the initial investment and are subject to the following probability distributions: Project A Project B Probability Cash Flows Probability Cash Flows 0.2 $6,250 0.2 $0 0.6 $6,750 0.6 $6,750 0.2 $7.250 0.2 $18,000 BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 12% and the less-risky project at 10%. The data has been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Open the spreadsheet and perform the required analysis to answer the questions below. NDTAP a Search this cours sy: Project risk analysis a. What is each project's expected annual cash flow? Round your answers to two decimal places. Project A: $ 6750 Project B: $ 7650 Project B's standard deviation (s) is $5,797.84 and its coefficient of variation (CVE) is 0.76. What are the values of (0) and (CV)? Round your answers to two decimal places. DA = $ 316.23 CVA- 4.68 b. Based on the risk-adjusted NPVS, which project should BPC choose? Project B c. If you knew that Project B's cash flows were negatively correlated with the firm's other cash flow, but Project A's cash flows were positively correlated, how might this affect the decision? This would make Project B more appealing. B Project risk analysis Costs, Projects A and B Expected life of projects (in years) Difference between Project A CFs $6,750.00 3 $500.00 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Project A: Probability 0.2 0.6 0.2 Cash Flows $6,250.00 $6,750.00 $7 250.00 12 13 Project B: 14 15 16 17 18 Probability 0.2 0.6 0.2 Cash Flows $0.00 $6,750.00 $18,000.00 Data Review View Help Tell me what you want to do X Cut Arial 10 Paste ObCopy Format Painter A A BI U Dab .. A. ilil Currency $. % 7 % 48 Conditional Formatting Unde Clipboard Font Alignment Number B24 A B D 18 E 12.00% 10.00% Formulas 19 Discount rate, risky project 20 Discount rate, less risky project 21 22 Calculation of Expected CF, SD and CV: 23 Project A: 24 Expected annual cash flow 25 Standard deviation (SD) 26 Coefficient of variation (CV) 27 8 Project: 9 Expected annual cash flow 0 Standard deviation (SD) 1 Coefficient of variation (CV) #NA #NA #NA #N/A $9,598.83 #DIV/0! 3 Which project is riskier? 4 Project A risk-adjusted discount rate #N/A #N/A Sheet1 + - 3 + + .00 > Formatting Unda Clipboard Font Wignment Alignment Number B24 fo B D $9,598.83 #DIV/OI 30 Standard deviation (SD) 31 Coefficient of variation (CV) 32 33 Which project is riskier? 34 Project A risk-adjusted discount rate 35 Project B risk-adjusted discount rate 36 37 Calculation of Risk-Adjusted NPVs: 38 NPVA 39 NPV. 40 Which project should be chosen? 41 42 43 #N/A #NA #NA #N/A #N/A #NA 45 46 Sheet1 +
