Question
We are considering an acquisition of an existing medical office building (MOB) to our portfolio. There are 4 tenants. Tenants 1 and 2 occupy 15,000
We are considering an acquisition of an existing medical office building (MOB) to our portfolio. There are 4 tenants. Tenants 1 and 2 occupy 15,000 and 8,000 square feet respective, at $19.00 per square foot. Tenant 3 has 10,000 at $20.00 and tenant 4 has 4,000 at $22.00. All the leases are presently expected to continue through the 4 year holding period and have CPI increases estimated at 2% per year. The asking price for the property is $3,000,000 of which 75% of the value would be allocated to the building; and vacancy and collection losses are projected at 10% of rents. First year operating expenses include $120,000 (i.e. taxes, insurance, utilities, maintenance, etc.) and management estimated at 5% of EGI. Our tax rate is 36% and all loses are recognized in the year they are incurred. Capital gains and depreciation recapture are both taxed at 15%. A 70% loan can be obtained at 9.5% for 25 years. Both the property value and operating expenses are expected to grow 4% per year and our projected holding period is 4 years. Selling expenses are projected at 4% of the gross sales price. The reinvestment rate for cash flows is 7% and the discount rate is 12%.
- What is the before tax IRR and MIRR to the investor under the proposed mortgage arrangement? Comment on the differences for the investor yield estimates you just calculated.
- IRR= 10%nand MIRR= 9%
- What is the after tax IRR, and the effective tax rate under this scenario?
- IRR= 8% and Effective tax rate= 15.02% in year 4
- Calculate the terminal cap rate based on the information above.
- 14.88%
- What is the NPV to the equity of the project?
- 513270.97
- Assume the 12% discount rate holds. Examine the equity BTIRR under the following sample of LTVs and interest charges.
@ 65% | 7% |
@ 70% | 10% |
@75% | 12% |
@80% | 15% |
Does this project have positive or negative leverage at the given LTV levels?
- BTIRR= 19% so it has positive leverage
Part II
The market where the MOB is located is unstable with extensive tenant churning and lease buyouts occurring regularly. The truth is our 10% vacancy and collection loss estimate is fairly optimistic due to the perceived stability of current leases. A more realistic estimate (most likely) is 15% and a worst case (pessimistic) estimate for V&C would be 20%. Lets assign the probability of occurrence as follows: 40% for most likely, 35% for optimistic and 25% for worst case.
Compute the following
- BTIRR and ATIRR for each scenario (you already have the optimistic estimate)
- The expected IRR given the 3 scenarios
- The variance and standard deviation of IRRs and the coefficient of variation for both before and after tax
- Are the expected returns in excess of 12%?
- Now, assume that the increase in value for year five is expected to be 6%. What is the marginal return for keeping the property one additional year? What is your advice?
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