We have studied various forecasting methods throughout the term. Use Reported Pandemic Deaths Data to answer the questions pertaining using MA(2), Exponential Smoothing (alpha = .9) and regression to make forecasts and compute MAE, MSE, and MAPE. The data goes from May 1 to December 2. Also, May 1 starts at day 76 which is fine.

Using a regression model with Times (Days) as the predictor compute Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).

Select one:

a.

4.05%

b.

1.35%

c.

2.09%

d.

.25%

Date	Time (Days)	Reported Deaths
1-May	76	61,356
2-May	77	62,918
3-May	78	64,150
4-May	79	65,185
5-May	80	67,637
6-May	81	69,585
7-May	82	72,337
8-May	83	74,135
9-May	84	75,580
10-May	85	76,616
11-May	86	77,508
12-May	87	78,994
13-May	88	80,698
14-May	89	82,577
15-May	90	84,084
16-May	91	85,071
17-May	92	85,920
18-May	93	86,768
19-May	94	88,094
20-May	95	89,493
21-May	96	90,887
22-May	97	92,228
23-May	98	93,291
24-May	99	93,971
25-May	100	94,530
26-May	101	95,175
27-May	102	96,496
28-May	103	97,727
29-May	104	98,911
30-May	105	99,843
31-May	106	100,495
1-Jun	107	101,163
2-Jun	108	102,125
3-Jun	109	103,118
4-Jun	110	104,011
5-Jun	111	104,837
6-Jun	112	105,565
7-Jun	113	106,012
8-Jun	114	106,673
9-Jun	115	107,575
10-Jun	116	108,462
11-Jun	117	109,361
12-Jun	118	110,136
13-Jun	119	110,830
14-Jun	120	111,186
15-Jun	121	111,567
16-Jun	122	112,297
17-Jun	123	113,064
18-Jun	124	113,769
19-Jun	125	114,424
20-Jun	126	115,053
21-Jun	127	115,347
22-Jun	128	115,633
23-Jun	129	116,343
24-Jun	130	117,067
25-Jun	131	117,714
26-Jun	132	118,351
27-Jun	133	118,862
28-Jun	134	119,133
29-Jun	135	119,465
30-Jun	136	120,061
1-Jul	137	120,762
2-Jul	138	121,457
3-Jul	139	122,055
4-Jul	140	122,361
5-Jul	141	122,570
6-Jul	142	122,813
7-Jul	143	123,736
8-Jul	144	124,543
9-Jul	145	125,410
10-Jul	146	126,264
11-Jul	147	127,021
12-Jul	148	127,497
13-Jul	149	127,824
14-Jul	150	128,560
15-Jul	151	129,418
16-Jul	152	130,365
17-Jul	153	131,316
18-Jul	154	132,188
19-Jul	155	132,715
20-Jul	156	133,078
21-Jul	157	134,117
22-Jul	158	135,288
23-Jul	159	136,344
24-Jul	160	137,520
25-Jul	161	138,543
26-Jul	162	139,102
27-Jul	163	140,162
28-Jul	164	141,284
29-Jul	165	142,776
30-Jul	166	144,035
31-Jul	167	145,347
1-Aug	168	146,537
2-Aug	169	147,035
3-Aug	170	147,554
4-Aug	171	148,809
5-Aug	172	150,155
6-Aug	173	151,406
7-Aug	174	152,739
8-Aug	175	153,828
9-Aug	176	154,444
10-Aug	177	154,870
11-Aug	178	156,196
12-Aug	179	157,715
13-Aug	180	158,878
14-Aug	181	160,094
15-Aug	182	161,315
16-Aug	183	161,934
17-Aug	184	162,341
18-Aug	185	163,537
19-Aug	186	164,957
20-Aug	187	166,091
21-Aug	188	167,214
22-Aug	189	168,243
23-Aug	190	168,815
24-Aug	191	169,158
25-Aug	192	170,305
26-Aug	193	171,603
27-Aug	194	172,732
28-Aug	195	173,756
29-Aug	196	174,771
30-Aug	197	175,246
31-Aug	198	175,612
1-Sep	199	176,639
2-Sep	200	177,671
3-Sep	201	178,741
4-Sep	202	179,739
5-Sep	203	180,657
6-Sep	204	181,106
7-Sep	205	181,331
8-Sep	206	181,689
9-Sep	207	182,773
10-Sep	208	183,943
11-Sep	209	184,961
12-Sep	210	185,771
13-Sep	211	186,161
14-Sep	212	186,565
15-Sep	213	187,596
16-Sep	214	188,796
17-Sep	215	189,659
18-Sep	216	190,560
19-Sep	217	191,300
20-Sep	218	191,627
21-Sep	219	191,914
22-Sep	220	192,768
23-Sep	221	193,927
24-Sep	222	194,848
25-Sep	223	195,692
26-Sep	224	196,561
27-Sep	225	196,868
28-Sep	226	197,125
29-Sep	227	197,864
30-Sep	228	198,925
1-Oct	229	199,776
2-Oct	230	200,611
3-Oct	231	201,352
4-Oct	232	201,715
5-Oct	233	202,041
6-Oct	234	202,675
7-Oct	235	203,591
8-Oct	236	204,577
9-Oct	237	205,470
10-Oct	238	206,135
11-Oct	239	206,601
12-Oct	240	206,888
13-Oct	241	207,578
14-Oct	242	208,389
15-Oct	243	209,340
16-Oct	244	210,217
17-Oct	245	210,997
18-Oct	246	211,390
19-Oct	247	211,846
20-Oct	248	212,678
21-Oct	249	213,702
22-Oct	250	214,845
23-Oct	251	218,965
24-Oct	252	222102
25-Oct	253	222618
26-Oct	254	222976
27-Oct	255	223625
28-Oct	256	224559
29-Oct	257	225477
30-Oct	258	226482
31-Oct	259	227439
1-Nov	260	228180
2-Nov	261	228589
3-Nov	262	229129
4-Nov	263	230397
5-Nov	264	231543
6-Nov	265	232657
7-Nov	266	233817
8-Nov	267	234716
9-Nov	268	235154
10-Nov	269	236062
11-Nov	270	237350
12-Nov	271	238858
13-Nov	272	239634
14-Nov	273	241179
15-Nov	274	242363
16-Nov	275	242953
17-Nov	276	243674
18-Nov	277	245090
19-Nov	278	246956
20-Nov	279	249162
21-Nov	280	250782
22-Nov	281	251740
23-Nov	282	253097
24-Nov	283	254496
25-Nov	284	256408
26-Nov	285	258619
27-Nov	286	259848
28-Nov	287	261040
29-Nov	288	262287
30-Nov	289	263039
1-Dec	290	264463
2-Dec	291	266769
3-Dec