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We're looking at economic data that suggests a 2 0 % probability of a recession, and a 4 0 % probability of both a boom

We're looking at economic data that suggests a

20 %

probability of a recession, and a

40 %

probability of both a boom and a neutral state. Expected returns on a stock are boom:

14 %,

neutral:

9 %,

recession:

- 15 % .

What's the standard deviation of returns?

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