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Western Petroleum has reserves of 200,000 barrels of oil that can be extracted at the end of one year. The current spot price of crude
- Western Petroleum has reserves of 200,000 barrels of oil that can be extracted at the end of one year. The current spot price of crude oil is $50 per barrel and CPs cost of extraction is $20 per barrel. The risk-free rate is 4% per year (EAR), the net convenience yield for oil is assumed to be 2% per year (EAR), and the volatility for oil is 40% per year. CP has fixed costs of $4 million next year. (Assume all revenues and costs occur at the end of each year.)
- If CP hedges its fixed costs using forward contracts, how much free cash would it have next year if the oil price turns out to be $75 per barrel?
- If CP hedged its fixed costs using European put options with a strike price of $45 per barrel, how much free cash would it have next year if the oil price turns out to be $75 per barrel?
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