When a company make drugs, the probability the chemical bond process during the reaction does not occur is 1.98%. A company sets up a machine to test for these defects. Tubes containing the drugs are sent through the machine and the machine records how many tubes goes through and records how many it took for the first defect drug to go through the machine. It then repeats this process for another 199 times (200 in total), noting how many tubes it counted until the defect occures. Tubes are never used twice. What is the probability the testers run out of the 10,000 tubes they have before the machine can complete its experiment?