Question
When you provide spreadsheet data, hide repetitive columns to reduce the number of pages to at most 2 per question/part. You must annotate each formula
When you provide spreadsheet data, hide repetitive columns to reduce the number of pages to at most 2 per question/part. You must annotate each formula (in, say, the first row) to receive full or partial credit.
1. [12pts] Google the St Louis Economics Database ("Fred II") and download the monthly constant maturity 1-year and 10-year series (excel-format, denoted GS1 and GS10, respectively). Similarly, google the Bureau of Labor Statistics ("BLS") and create a spreadsheet of the all-urban CPI ("inflation") index.
a. Compute a column that shows the YoY inflation rate, as a monthly series.
b. Plot the monthly 1-yr CMT, 10-yr CMT, and inflation rate on a single graph, from (at least) the 1960's through the present. Make sure that the x-axis matches the available data range.
c. Comment on the peak in the early 80's and on the state of affairs from the late 90's through the present.
2. [12pts] Recreate the real Case-Shiller index for the Los Angeles by similarly obtaining the necessary data from a web-search (Standard and Poor's). Note that the index you download will be a nominal index. Show both the nominal and real indexes on one plot, using the earliest available Case-Shiller date as the base period.
3. [4pts] How far are we currently from the 2006 peak (in percent), in nominal and real terms? Do you think we are back in a bubble? So so/not, why/not?
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