Question
While the Federal Reserve controls short-term interest rates, long-term interest rates essentially depend on supply/demand dynamics, as well as longer-term interest rate expectations. In order
While the Federal Reserve controls short-term interest rates, long-term interest rates essentially depend on supply/demand dynamics, as well as longer-term interest rate expectations. In order to examine the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates, monthly data were collected on the 3-month Treasury yield (in %) and the 10-year Treasury yield (in %). A portion of the data is shown in the accompanying table.
Month | Year | Three_month | Ten_year |
Jan | 2016 | 0.26 | 2.09 |
Feb | 2016 | 0.31 | 1.78 |
Dec | 2017 | 1.32 | 2.40 |
Click here for the Excel Data File
a.Estimate and interpret a sample regression equation using the 10-year yield as the response variable and the 3-month yield as the predictor variable.(Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
b.Specify the coefficient of determination.(Round answers to 4 decimal places.) c-1.At the 5% significance level, determine whether the 3-month yield is significant in explaining the 10-year yield. First, specify the competing hypotheses. multiple choice 1
- H0:1= 0;HA:1> 0
- H0:1= 0;HA:1< 0
- H0:1= 0;HA:1 0
c-2.Find thep-value. multiple choice 2
- p-value < 0.01
- 0.01 p-value < 0.025
- 0.025 p-value < 0.05
- 0.05 p-value < 0.10
- p-value 0.10
c-3.At the 5% significance level, is the 3-month yield significant in explaining the 10-year yield?? multiple choice 3
- Yes, since thep-value is less than 0.05.
- No, since thep-value is more than 0.05.
- No, since thep-value is less than 0.05.
- Yes, since thep-value is more than 0.05.
d-1.A study finds that a change in the 3-month yield implies the same change in the 10-year yield. This means that the slope coefficient attached to the 3-month yield is one. An economist believes that the study's finding is wrong. Specify the competing hypotheses to test the economist's claim. multiple choice 4
- H0:1= 1;HA:1> 1
- H0:1= 1;HA:1< 1
- H0:1= 1;HA:1 1
d-2.Calculate the value of the test statistic.(Round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
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