Question
Winters Inc., a golf club manufacturer, is currently paying dividends of $5 per share. These dividends are expected to grow at a 15% rate for
Winters Inc., a golf club manufacturer, is currently paying dividends of $5 per share. These dividends are expected to grow at a 15% rate for the next four years and at 6% rate thereafter (forever). What is the value of the stock if the appropriate discount rate is 12%?
To calculate the value of the stock, we use the dividend discount model (DDM):
- Calculate the dividends for the next four years using the growth rate of 15%.
- Calculate the terminal value of the stock beyond the fourth year using the perpetuity formula.
- Discount each of these future cash flows back to the present value using the appropriate discount rate of 12%.
- Sum up the present values of all the future cash flows to find the total value of the stock.
Step 1: Calculate dividends for the next four years:
Year 1 Dividend = $5 * (1 + 15%) = $5 * 1.15 = $5.75
Year 2 Dividend = $5.75 * (1 + 15%) = $5.75 * 1.15 = $6.6125
Year 3 Dividend = $6.6125 * (1 + 15%) = $6.6125 * 1.15 = $7.60438
Year 4 Dividend = $7.60438 * (1 + 15%) = $7.60438 * 1.15 = $8.74502
Step 2: Calculate the terminal value beyond the fourth year using the perpetuity formula:
Terminal Value = Year 5 Dividend / (Discount Rate - Growth Rate):
$8.74502 / (12% - 6%) = $8.74502 / 0.06 = $145.75033
Step 3: Discount each future cash flow back to the present value:
PV(Year 1) = $5.75 / (1 + 12%)^1 = $5.12
PV(Year 2) = $6.6125 / (1 + 12%)^2 = $5.57
PV(Year 3) = $7.60438 / (1 + 12%)^3 = $5.91
PV(Year 4) = $8.74502 / (1 + 12%)^4 = $6.16
PV(Terminal Value) = $145.75033 / (1 + 12%)^4 = $82.21
Step 4: Sum up the present values of all the future cash flows:
Stock Value = PV(Year 1) + PV(Year 2) + PV(Year 3) + PV(Year 4) + PV(Terminal Value) = $5.12 + $5.57 + $5.91 + $6.16 + $82.21 = $104.97
The value of the stock is approximately $104.97 per share
Calculating the value of a stock using the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) with a financial calculator:
Step 1: Calculate Dividends for the Next Four Years:
We've already calculated the dividends listed above:
- Year 1: $5.75
- Year 2: $6.6125
- Year 3: $7.60438
- Year 4: $8.74502
- Year 2 Dividend ($6.6125):
- N = 2 (for 2 years)
- I/Y = 12 (for the discount rate of 12%)
- PMT = 0 (since this is not an annuity)
- FV = 6.6125 (future value, which is the dividend)
- Compute PV by pressing CPT > PV. This gives you the present value for Year 2's dividend (-5.27)
- Year 3 Dividend ($7.60438):
- N = 3 (for 3 years)
- I/Y = 12 (for the discount rate of 12%)
- PMT = 0 (since this is not an annuity)
- FV = 7.60438 (future value, which is the dividend)
- Compute PV by pressing CPT > PV. This gives you the present value for Year 2's dividend (-5.41)
- Year 3 Dividend ($8.74502):
- N = 4 (for 4 years)
- I/Y = 12 (for the discount rate of 12%)
- PMT = 0 (since this is not an annuity)
- FV = 8.74502 (future value, which is the dividend)
- Compute PV by pressing CPT > PV. This gives you the present value for Year 2's dividend (-5.56)
- Terminal Value ($145.75033):
- N = 4 (for 4 years)
- I/Y = 12 (for the discount rate of 12%)
- PMT = 0 (since this is not an annuity)
- FV = 145.75033 (future value, which is the dividend)
- Compute PV by pressing CPT > PV. This gives you the present value for Year 2's dividend (-92.63)
Step 2: Calculate the Terminal Value:
Again, we've calculated this to be $145.75033.
Step 3: Discount Each Future Cash Flow Back to Present Value:
We use the Time Value of Money (TVM) functionality for each cash flow.
- For each dividend and the terminal value, we'll calculate the present value (PV) one at a time, as follows:
- Year 1 Dividend ($5.75):
- N = 1 (for 1 year)
- I/Y = 12 (for the discount rate of 12%)
- PMT = 0 (since this is not an annuity)
- FV = 5.75 (future value, which is the dividend)
- Compute PV by pressing CPT > PV. This gives you the present value for Year 1's dividend (-5.13)
- Year 1 Dividend ($5.75):
Step 4: Sum Up the Present Values of All Future Cash Flows
5.13 + 5.27 + 5.41 + 5.56 + 92.63 = 114.00
Step by Step Solution
3.33 Rating (150 Votes )
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Based on the calculations provided the value of the stock is approximat...Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started