Y5

Forecast US economic condition in the next 1-2 quarters: which stage of business cycle will it be? 1) Use 3-4 leading indicators' past 3 years' charts , identify their primary trend, and see if there are more signs of economic expansion or of contraction in the near future. 2) Check the possible changes in main economic policies and their possible impact on economy 3) Check the geopolitical tensions in Asia, as well as in the Middle East, and project what kind of potential impacts they will bring to our economy should the conflicts escalate. Any other big things: oil price, civil movement, political.. Based on all these analyses, provide two paragraph summary of where our economy will be in the next few quarters