Yardie Global is considering expanding a cruise line division next year (t=1) or waiting a year due to public health concerns. The cruise line has a discount rate of 11 percent and has an NPV today (t=0) of $40M. If they wait one year for market research, there is a 30 percent chance that the NPV next year (t=1) could be $150M and 70 percent chance that they will cut the division. Should they wait? Yes No It makes no difference