Question
Year GDP % Change 1975 4084.4 1976 4311.7 5.57 1977 4511.8 4.64 1978 4760.6 5.51 1979 4912.1 3.18 1980 4900.9 -0.23 1981 5021 2.45 1982
Year | GDP | % Change |
1975 | 4084.4 | |
1976 | 4311.7 | 5.57 |
1977 | 4511.8 | 4.64 |
1978 | 4760.6 | 5.51 |
1979 | 4912.1 | 3.18 |
1980 | 4900.9 | -0.23 |
1981 | 5021 | 2.45 |
1982 | 4919.3 | -2.03 |
1983 | 5132.3 | 4.33 |
1984 | 5505.2 | 7.27 |
1985 | 5717.1 | 3.85 |
1986 | 5912.4 | 3.42 |
1987 | 6113.3 | 3.4 |
1988 | 6368.4 | 4.17 |
1989 | 6591.8 | 3.51 |
1990 | 6707.9 | 1.76 |
1991 | 6676.4 | -0.47 |
1992 | 6880 | 3.05 |
1993 | 7062.6 | 2.65 |
1994 | 7347.7 | 4.04 |
1995 | 7543.8 | 2.67 |
1996 | 7813.2 | 3.57 |
1997 | 8159.5 | 4.43 |
1998 | 8515.7 | 4.37 |
1999 | 8875.8 | 4.23 |
1. A) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population average of the %Change in GDP. (The data set can be copied and pasted into Excel.)
B) Complete this sentence based on your result for the first question: We are 95% confident that .
C) Many users of statistics will confuse this interval with something else. What mistaken interpretation might they make? Develop an argument from the data to demonstrate they are wrong. D) To use this interval, we assumed that the population distribution of %Change in GDP follows a Normal distribution and that the %Change was stable over this time period. Form a Histogram of the %Change and a Time Series Plot of %Change to test those assumptions. What conclusions do you reach?
E) It would seem natural to do the same steps with GDP values, themselves, in order to estimate an underlying population average of GDP. Show evidence that this will not work.
PLZ Show how this is done on excel
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