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Ying Yang Corp based in Singapore is expecting remittance of 2 5 0 , 0 0 0 Singapore Dollars from goods they exported to Italy.

Ying Yang Corp based in Singapore is expecting remittance of 250,000 Singapore Dollars from goods they exported to Italy. They also have a commitment to pay 200,000 Singapore dollars in one month. Yingyang estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes of the Singapore Dollars to be 3 percent over the last 40 months. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Using the value-at-risk (VaR) method based on a 95 percent confidence level, what is the maximum one-month loss in dollars if the expected percentage change of the Singapore Dollars during next month is -2 percent? Assume that the current spot rate of the Singapore Dollar (before considering the maximum one-month loss) is $1.23.
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