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You are a financial advisor for a client who is comfortable with risk consistent with the S&P 500. You are recommending a well-diversified, large cap

You are a financial advisor for a client who is comfortable with risk consistent with the S&P 500. You are recommending a well-diversified, large cap stock portfolio with 2 Standard Deviations of +/- 34 percentage points. If the average historical ATR of the portfolio is +11%,

A) What is the likely range of ATRs next year?

B) What is the likelihood next year's ATR will be within that range?

In describing the risk of the proposed portfolio (from Q 1), you explain to your client that she can be _____% confident any losses next year will not exceed ______.%

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