Question
You are a Fund manager and trying to make a diversified portfolio for your client after analyzing all the parameters. You have 1 million rupees
You are a Fund manager and trying to make a diversified portfolio for your client after analyzing all the parameters. You have 1 million rupees for an investment, keep in mind your client behavior is classified under "Risk Averse" category. Few steps for developing a well-diversified portfolio. You are allowed to invest only 5 stocks in your client's portfolio.
1. Select at least 10 companies which are listed in the Pakistan Stock Exchange from different sectors.
2. You can select maximum two companies from each sector.You must mention reason of selection of company from each sector. Reason may be future growth forecast, dividend payout, liquidity or strong business group etc. It means you need to justify why you select a particular company.
3. Extract ONE year monthly closing prices. (Hint: Price should be last working day of the month)
Price you can start from January 2019 till June 30th 2020 as you feel comfortable to get data.
4. Extract ONE-year months closing points of KSE-100 Index.
Index can start from January 2019 till June 30th 2020 as you feel comfortable to get data.
5. Calculate the average return from historical prices which you extracted in step 2 and 3. Take care that return will be calculated for all companies you selected as well as KSE-100 Index.
6. Calculate the Standard deviation of historical (Monthly Closing) prices and KSE-100 index.
7. Calculate the Co-efficient of variation of each company to figure out which company is bearing lower per unit of risk.
8. Select 5 companies with the help of CV in your portfolio in order to minimize the overall portfolio risk.
9. Calculate the required return through CAPM, your risk-free rate should be KIBOR one-year rate. Beta (Using formula of Covariance of Stock, Market divide by Variance of Market), and Market return assumed to be 15%.
You can take help from this video link to calculate Beta.
https://youtu.be/JCyapYjjzUM
10. Develop a well-diversified portfolio by optimizing the weights (Percentage of investment) to attain objective of lower risk in terms of overall portfolio.
Data Sources: www.psx.com.pk, www.dps.psx.com.pk, www.scstrade.com, www.sbp.org.pk
Marking Scheme:
Marks will be in the range as described below depending on how much you are meeting project requirements.
60-67 68-73 74-80 81 plus
Group once made and then not changed/add/remove members Three changes Two changes One change No change
Selection of company meeting project criteria Not meeting criteria Meeting but unable to justify in writing Meeting and justify in report Good selection and justification
Calculation Not presented properly Poor presentation Presented but lacking in appropriateness Good presentation of project working
Beta calculation Not presented properly Poor presentation Presented but lacking in explanation Good presentation of Beta
Portfolio selection as required in Point 10 of project Not done properly Poor selection of companies for portfolio based on CV Good portfolio plan Very good portfolio making
Overall presentation of Project meeting all 10 points of Project Not good Good Very good Impressive
Note:
1. How to submit?
A single Excel file will be submitted. First sheet will show group name and ID numbers.
2. If two groups in any way sent same report with same companies and same working both groups will get ZERO marks.
3. Marks depend on how faculty assess your project. Your effort will be appreciated but since it is learning work so put your effort to make it a good project in terms of learning of portfolio making process as well from presentation point of view.
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