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You are an analyst working for Goldman Sachs, and you are trying to value the growth potential of a large, established company, Big Industries. Big
You are an analyst working for Goldman Sachs, and you are trying to value the growth potential of a large, established company, Big Industries. Big Industries has a thriving R&D division that has consistently turned out successful products. You estimate that, on average, the division launches two projects every three years, so you estimate that there is a chance that a project will be produced every year. Typically, the investment opportunities the R&D division produces require an initial investment of million and yield profits of million per year that grow at one of three possible growth rates in perpetuity: and All three growth rates are equally likely for any given project. These opportunities are always "take it or leave it opportunities: If they are not undertaken immediately, they disappear forever. Assume that all the probabilities are riskneutral probabilities, which means the cost of capital is always the riskfree rate and riskfree rates follow this path: The current interest rate for a riskfree perpetuity is ; in one year, there is a chance that all riskfree interest rates will be and stay there forever and a chance that they will be and stay there forever. The current oneyear riskfree rate is What is the present value of all future growth opportunities Big Industries will produce?Hint: Make sure to round all intermediate calculations to at least four decimal places.
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