Question
You are an inventory management consultant. You have been hired by Costco to help optimize inventory management for their Poultry department. Your immediate task is
You are an inventory management consultant. You have been hired by Costco to help optimize inventory management for their Poultry department. Your immediate task is building a Monte Carlo simulation for sales of Eggs, Chicken and Turkey. The probabilities of monthly demand levels are:
Probability
Eggs
Chicken
Turkey
0.05
174
258
288
0.10
210
289
308
0.15
234
302
320
0.05
250
320
340
0.15
268
342
352
0.10
290
366
366
0.15
308
388
382
0.10
324
400
403
0.10
348
421
440
0.05
384
454
480
The unit revenues and costs are given in the table below.
Product
Unit Revenue
Unit Cost
Eggs
$1.76
$0.98
Chicken
$2.69
$1.88
Turkey
$3.29
$2.03
Each product has a separate display with an associated fixed monthly cost:
Product
Fixed Monthly Display Cost
Eggs
$99
Chicken
$229
Turkey
$309
1. Use a table for the cumulative probability distribution for demand. It should be set up for use with the VLOOKUP function, with the cumulative probabilities on the left.
2.Use a table for tracking sales over one year (Jan 2021-Dec 2021) with separate columns for Eggs, Chicken and Turkey. This will just be the randomized demand value for each item for each month (like in 10.1.2 from the lab exercise on Monte Carlo simulations). For this assignment, assume all demand is actually met (that is, sales = demand) and there is no other inventory loss except through sales.
3. Use a table for tracking total revenues, costs, and profit for the year. This table should use the information provided in your answer to 2., above. Your table should calculate values for:
- Total Revenue(based on the combined sales of all three products over the year)
- Total Cost(also based on combined sales, and including cost of goods sold and fixed costs)
- Profit/Loss(total revenue minus total costs)
4. Use a data table to generate 50 runs of the simulation and calculate the average profit of the50 simulation runs. Calculate the average profit over
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