You are comparing two projects. One is a four-year project costing $1 million and will provide benefit of $500K/year. The second is an eight-year project with annual CFs of $500K/year and an initial cost of $1.5 million. If there is a 70% chance the cost of the first project will drop by 30% after the first four years and the remaining cash flows stay at $500K/year, which project is the better choice? The discount rate is 10%.