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You are considering a proposal to produce and market a new machine. The most likely outcomes for the project are: Expected sales: 2 7 ,

You are considering a proposal to produce and market a new machine. The most likely outcomes for the project are:
Expected sales: 27,526 units per year
Unit Price: $50
Variable Cost: $25
Fixed Cost: $300,000
The project will last for 10 years and requires an initial investment of $1 million, which will be depreciated straight-line over the project life to a final value of zero. The firm's tax rate is 30%, and the required rate of return is 12%.
But some of these estimates are subject to error. Sales could fall 30% below expectations for the life of the project and, if that happens, the unit price would probably be only $40. The good news is that fixed costs could be as low as $200,000, and variable costs would decline in proportional to sales.
What is the NPV in the worst-case scenario?

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