Question
You are considering a proposal to produce and market a new sluffing machine. The most likely outcomes for the project are as follows: Expected sales:
You are considering a proposal to produce and market a new sluffing machine. The most likely outcomes for the project are as follows:
Expected sales: 130,000 units per year
Unit price: $250
Variable cost: $150
Fixed cost: $5,700,000
The project will last for 10 years and requires an initial investment of $24.32 million, which will be depreciated straight-line over the project life to a final value of zero. The firms tax rate is 30%, and the required rate of return is 12%.
However, you recognize that some of these estimates are subject to error. In one scenario a sharp rise in the dollar could cause sales to fall 30% below expectations for the life of the project and, if that happens, the unit price would probably be only $240. The good news is that fixed costs could be as low as $3,800,000, and variable costs would decline in proportion to sales.
What is project NPV if all variables are as expected?
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in thousands not in millions and round your answer to the nearest whole dollar amount.
What is NPV in the bad-case scenario?
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in thousands not in millions and round your answer to the nearest whole dollar amount. Negative amount should be indicated with a minus sign.
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