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You are currently employed in coffee trading company that buys and sells coffee in international markets and they have hired you because of your claim

You are currently employed in coffee trading company that buys and sells coffee in international markets and they have hired you because of your claim that you understand how the foreign exchange markets work. Your company has preferred purchasing partners in the following 5 countries

  1. Brazil (Brazilian Real)
  2. Vietnam (Vietnamese Dong)
  3. Colombia (Colombian Peso)
  4. Indonesia (Indonesian Rupiah)
  5. Ethiopia (Ethiopian Birr)

These happen to be the top 5 producers of coffee beans in the world. The name of their currencies are enclosed in the corresponding parentheses.

The research department of your company has provided you with the following tables. The first one shows the current exchange rates and what they believe will be the exchange rate in 3 months. The second shows the degree of volatility exhibited by the 5 currencies in the last 6 months, where a higher number implies more fluctuation.

Table 1: Current Exchange rates and 3 month projections

Country

Exchange rate

Today

3 Month Projection

Brazil

3.80 Reals per dollar

4.20 Reals per dollar

Vietnam

23,205.35 Dongs per dollar

23,025.00 Dongs per dollar

Colombia

3,163.75 pesos per dollar

3,001.25 pesos per dollar

Indonesia

14,766.90 Rupiahs per dollar

15,000.00 Rupiahs per dollar

Ethiopia

27.82 Birrs per dollar

25.82 Birrs per dollar

Table 2: Exchange rate volatility

Country

Exchange rate 6 month variation

Brazil

12%

Vietnam

8%

Colombia

36%

Indonesia

49%

Ethiopia

18%

Given your companys interests, you have been asked to use the information above to answer the following questions that are of some concern

A.

Suppose your company buys 10,000 pounds of coffee for 3.8 Million Reals today. These 10,000pounds have been marked for sale in Ethiopia in 3 months regardless of market conditions, how much more or less are these pounds of coffee worth to your company in 3 months? For this question, assume that no profit is made from selling at a higher price, i.e. prices in both time periods and in both countries are the same. (ONLY ONE OPTION IS CORRECT)

The value does not change, it is still 10,000 pounds of coffee

It is worth $77,459.33 less

it is worth 3,526,815.24 Birrs less

it is worth 3,526.815.24 Birrs more

It is worth $28,000 less

it is worth $1,000,000 less

it is worth $1,000,000 more

It is worth $28,000 more

it is $77,459.33 more

B.

Suppose your company has an option that gives them the right to sell $1 for 5 Reals in 3 months, what would you recommend your company do with the option?(ONLY ONE OPTION IS CORRECT)

Use the option and buy coffee in Brazil

Throw the option away as it is not useful

use the option and sell coffee in Brazil

Do not use the option, but buy coffee in Brazil

Do not use the option but sell coffee in Brazil

MUST NEED SPECIFIC REASON

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