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YOU ARE GIVEN THE INFORMATION BELOW: 1.2.1: Expected Portfolio Return for each of the six years Year Asset X Asset Y Exp. Port. Return 2015

YOU ARE GIVEN THE INFORMATION BELOW:

1.2.1: Expected Portfolio Return for each of the six years

Year Asset X Asset Y Exp. Port. Return

2015

(0.4 x 0.14) = 0.056

(0.6 x 0.2) = 0.12

(0.056 x 0.12) = 17.6%

2016

(0.4 x 0.14) = 0.056

(0.6 x 0.18) = 0.108

(0.056 x 0.108) = 16.4%

2017

(0.4 x 0.16) = 0.064

(0.6 x 0.16) = 0.096

(0.064 x 0.096) = 16%

2018

(0.4 x 0.17) = 0.068

(0.6 x 0.14) = 0.084

(0.068 x 0.084) = 15.2%

2019

(0.4 x 0.17) = 0.068

(0.6 x 0.12) = 0.072

(0.068 x 0.072) = 14%

2020

(0.4 x 0.18) = 0.076

(0.6 x 0.1) = 0.06

(0.076 x 0.06) = 13.6%

1.2.2: The expected value of the portfolio returns over the 6-year period.

=17.6% + 16.4% + 16% + 15.2% + 14% + 13.6% = 92.8 = 15.47%

6 years 6

1.2.3: The standard deviation of expected portfolio returns over the 6-year period.

= (17.6 15.47)2 + (16.4 15.47)2 + (16 15.47)2 + (15.2 15.47)2 + (14 15.47)2 +

(13.6 15.47)2

= 4.5369 + 0.8649 + 0.2809 + 0.0729 +2.1609 + 3.4969

= 11.4134

6

= = 1.3792

REQUIRED: WITH THE ABOVE INFORMATION:

a) Critique the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) assumptions with regards to the investors rationality and the absence of arbitrage opportunities. Provide relevant examples to substantiate your arguments. (10 Marks)

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