Question
You are investing in stocks and bonds. Assume the following: the stocks have a long-term average net return of 6.5%, net of inflation, with a
You are investing in stocks and bonds. Assume the following:
- the stocks have a long-term average net return of 6.5%, net of inflation, with a standard deviation of 19.5%.
- 10-year treasury bonds have a long-term average net return of 1.7%, with a standard deviation of 7.5%.
- the correlation between stock and bond returns in any given year is 0.3
Suppose that you start with $10,000, and that you allocate 60% of your money to stocks (with the remaining 40% to bonds). Use Monte Carlo simulation to answer the following questions:
- What are the mean and standard deviation of simulated wealth after 40 years, assuming that stocks and bonds have a correlation of -0.3?
- What if stocks and bonds instead have a positive correlation of 0.3?
In each case, assume that you rebalance your portfolio every year to retain the target 60/40 allocation.
The same script that you build for this case study can be used to investigate any set of assumptions about the statistical properties of future stock/bond returns.
*If possible, please use R and post code along with answer
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