Question
You are planning to produce a new action figure called Hillary. However, you are very uncertain about the demand for the product. If it is
You are planning to produce a new action figure called "Hillary". However, you are very uncertain about the demand for the product. If it is a hit, you will have net cash flows of $60 million per year for three years (starting next year, i.e., at t = 1). If it fails, you will only have net cash flows of $10 million per year for two years (also starting next year). There is an equal chance that it will be a hit or failure (probability = 50%). You will not know whether it is a hit or a failure until the first year's cash flows are in, i.e., at t = 1. You have to spend $90 million immediately for equipment and the rights to produce the figure. If you can sell your equipment for $60 million immediately after the first year's cash flows are received, calculate Hillary's NPV with this abandonment option. (The discount rate is 10%. The equipment can only be resold at the end of the first year.) The 3-year annuity factor at 10% equals 2.48685.
Can someone show step by step, knowing that the Truck of 60 million dollars can be sold after the 1rst years Cash flows are received ?
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