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You are randomly selected to have a blood test for swine flu, which, for the purposes of this exercise, we will say is currently suspected

You are randomly selected to have a blood test for swine flu, which, for the purposes of this exercise, we will say is currently suspected to affect 1 in 10,000 in America.The test is 99% accurate, in the sense that the probability of a false positive is 1%.The probability of a false negative is zero.You test positive.What is the new probability that you actually have swine flu.

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