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You are researching a phenomenon in which certain events are less likely to occur (hint: rare). What is the most likely distribution you would assume

You are researching a phenomenon in which certain events are less likely to occur (hint: rare). What is the most likely distribution you would assume characterizes these events? Why? How do you know? Furthermore, the results of your analysis are questioned and you decide to conduct further tests. Would the consideration of a hypergeometric distribution be helpful at all, or just a pointless distraction? Why?

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