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You are tasked with measuring the risk associated with selling health insurance to potential smokers. You know that: A smoker is 3 times as likely

You are tasked with measuring the risk associated with selling health insurance to potential

smokers. You know that:

A smoker is 3 times as likely to file a claim as a non-smoker.

18% of the population are smokers.

Use Bayes' theorem to compute the conditional probability that a person is a smoker given they filed a claim.

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