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You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review.
You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review. Below is some information about the projections. | |||||||||||
Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | After Year 6 | ||||||
Growth rate estimation | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |||||
EBIT | $203,700 | $157,400 | $131,000 | $133,000 | $138,300 | $140,000 | |||||
Assets | $115,000 | $102,000 | $83,200 | $38,000 | $38,900 | $40,200 | |||||
Operating liabilities | $34,500 | $34,500 | $26,000 | $9,100 | $9,300 | $9,600 | |||||
Number of outstanding shares | 27,250 | ||||||||||
Current share price | $20.91 | ||||||||||
Net debt | $240,000 | ||||||||||
WACC | 8% | ||||||||||
Inflation | 3% | ||||||||||
Effective tax rate | 40% | ||||||||||
Terminal growth rate | 3% | ||||||||||
Terminal date | Year 6 | ||||||||||
Extract from the reformatted income statement | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Tons of steel sold | 26,000 | 33,100 | |||||||||
Selling price per ton | $630 | $620 | |||||||||
Cost price per ton | $540 | $545 | |||||||||
Sales | $16,380,000 | $20,522,000 | |||||||||
Cost of goods sold | $14,040,000 | $18,039,500 | |||||||||
Gross profit | $2,340,000 | $2,482,500 | |||||||||
Sales, general, and admin costs | -$234,000 | -$248,250 | |||||||||
Operating expenses | -$1,962,000 | -$2,040,250 | |||||||||
EBIT | $144,000 | $194,000 | |||||||||
Extract from the reformatted balance sheet | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Accounts receivable | $1,723,400 | $2,241,000 | |||||||||
Inventory | $2,480,000 | $3,462,000 | |||||||||
Other current assets | $6,222,050 | $5,100,860 | |||||||||
Ending PPE (net) | $5,078,650 | $5,093,140 | |||||||||
Total assets | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
Accounts payable | $776,809 | $1,042,146 | |||||||||
Other current liabilities | $5,825,971 | $5,284,134 | |||||||||
Long-term operating liabilities | $3,941,020 | $3,942,420 | |||||||||
Capital | $4,960,300 | $5,628,300 | |||||||||
Liabilities and owner's equity | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
Answer the following questions based on this information in the corresponding answer tabs provided: | |||||||||||
Question 1 | |||||||||||
Calculate a five-year free cash flow for Steel Co., starting from Year 2. | |||||||||||
Question 2 | |||||||||||
Calculate the terminal value of the cash flow after Year 6. | |||||||||||
Question 3 | |||||||||||
Calculate the discounted cash flow value for Steel Co. | |||||||||||
Question 4 | |||||||||||
4.1 Use the valuation done as per Questions 1 to 3 and recommend whether to extend an acquisition offer and explain your decision (Max. 200 words). | |||||||||||
4.2 Discuss how you would approach a sensitivity analysis on the valuation of Steel Co. by answering the following questions (Max. 200 words): | |||||||||||
4.2.1 Identify the key parameters and assumptions that affect your DCF valuation of Steel Co. | |||||||||||
4.2.2 How will the following change the valuation (increase or decrease in the calculated value of Steel Co.)? | |||||||||||
An appreciation in the exchange rate (effect on exports and imports). | |||||||||||
A decrease in the demand for steel due to an economic downturn. | |||||||||||
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