Question
You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review.
You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review. Attached are some information about the projections.
Q1: Calculate a five-year free cash flow for Steel Co., starting from Year 2.
Q2: Calculate the terminal value of the cash flow after Year 6.
Q3: Calculate the discounted cash flow value for Steel Co.
Q4: 4.1 Use the valuation done as per Questions 1 to 3 and recommend whether to extend an acquisition offer and explain your decision.
4.2 Discuss how you would approach a sensitivity analysis on the valuation of Steel Co. by answering the following questions:
4.2.1 Identify the key parameters and assumptions that affect your DCF valuation of Steel Co.
4.2.2 How will the following change the valuation (increase or decrease in the calculated value of Steel Co.)?
An appreciation in the exchange rate (effect on exports and imports).
A decrease in the demand for steel due to an economic downturn.\
Column1 | Column2 | Column3 | Column4 | Column5 | Column6 | Column7 | Column8 | Column9 | Column10 | Column11 | Column12 |
Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | After Year 6 | ||||||
Growth rate estimation | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |||||
EBIT | $203,700 | $157,400 | $131,000 | $133,000 | $138,300 | $140,000 | |||||
Assets | $115,000 | $102,000 | $83,200 | $38,000 | $38,900 | $40,200 | |||||
Operating liabilities | $34,500 | $34,500 | $26,000 | $9,100 | $9,300 | $9,600 | |||||
Number of outstanding shares | 27,250 | ||||||||||
Current share price | $20.91 | ||||||||||
Net debt | $240,000 | ||||||||||
WACC | 8% | ||||||||||
Inflation | 3% | ||||||||||
Effective tax rate | 40% | ||||||||||
Terminal growth rate | 3% | ||||||||||
Terminal date | Year 6 | ||||||||||
Extract from the reformatted income statement | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Tons of steel sold | 26,000 | 33,100 | |||||||||
Selling price per ton | $630 | $620 | |||||||||
Cost price per ton | $540 | $545 | |||||||||
Sales | $16,380,000 | $20,522,000 | |||||||||
Cost of goods sold | $14,040,000 | $18,039,500 | |||||||||
Gross profit | $2,340,000 | $2,482,500 | |||||||||
Sales, general, and admin costs | -$234,000 | -$248,250 | |||||||||
Operating expenses | -$1,962,000 | -$2,040,250 | |||||||||
EBIT | $144,000 | $194,000 | |||||||||
Extract from the reformatted balance sheet | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Accounts receivable | $1,723,400 | $2,241,000 | |||||||||
Inventory | $2,480,000 | $3,462,000 | |||||||||
Other current assets | $6,222,050 | $5,100,860 | |||||||||
Ending PPE (net) | $5,078,650 | $5,093,140 | |||||||||
Total assets | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
Accounts payable | $776,809 | $1,042,146 | |||||||||
Other current liabilities | $5,825,971 | $5,284,134 | |||||||||
Long-term operating liabilities | $3,941,020 | $3,942,420 | |||||||||
Capital | $4,960,300 | $5,628,300 | |||||||||
Liabilities and owner's equity | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
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