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You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review.
You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review. Below is some information about the projections. Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 After Year 6 Growth rate estimation 5% 3% 2% 4% 5% 3% EBIT $203,700 $157,400 $131,000 $133,000 $138,300 $140,000 Assets $115,000 $102,000 $83,200 $38,000 $38,900 $40,200 Operating liabilities $34,500 $34,500 $26,000 $9,100 $9,300 $9,600 Number of outstanding shares 27,250 Current share price $20.91 Net debt $240,000 WACC 8% Inflation 3% Effective tax rate 40% Terminal growth rate 3% Terminal date Year 6 Extract from the reformatted income statement Year 0 Year 1 Tons of steel sold 26,000 33,100 Selling price per ton $630 $620 Cost price per ton $540 $545 Sales $16,380,000 $20,522,000 Cost of goods sold $14,040,000 $18,039,500 Gross profit $2,340,000 $2,482,500 Sales, general, and admin costs -$234,000 -$248,250 Operating expenses -$1,962,000 -$2,040,250 EBIT $144,000 $194,000 Extract from the reformatted balance sheet Year 0 Year 1 Accounts receivable $1,723,400 $2,241,000 Inventory $2,480,000 $3,462,000 Other current assets $6,222,050 $5,100,860 Ending PPE (net) $5,078,650 $5,093,140 Total assets $15,504,100 $15,897,000 Accounts payable $776,809 $1,042,146 Other current liabilities $5,825,971 $5,284,134 Long-term operating liabilities $3,941,020 $3,942,420 Capital $4,960,300 $5,628,300 Liabilities and owner's equity $15,504,100 $15,897,000 Answer the following questions based on this information in the corresponding answer tabs provided: Question 1 Calculate a five-year free cash flow for Steel Co., starting from Year 2. Question 2 Calculate the terminal value of the cash flow after Year 6. Question 3 Calculate the discounted cash flow value for Steel Co. Question 4 4.1 Use the valuation done as per Questions 1 to 3 and recommend whether to extend an acquisition offer and explain your decision (Max. words). 4.2 Discuss how you would approach a sensitivity analysis on the valuation of Steel Co. by answering the following questions (Max. words): 4.2.1 Identify the key parameters and assumptions that affect your DCF valuation of Steel Co. 4.2.2 How will the following change the valuation (increase or decrease in the calculated value of Steel Co.)? An appreciation in the exchange rate (effect on exports and imports). A decrease in the demand for steel due to an economic downturn.
You are the head of the acquisitions department of a company. The potential investment in a steel manufacturing company, Steel Co., is currently under review. Below is some information about the projections. | |||||||||||
Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | After Year 6 | ||||||
Growth rate estimation | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |||||
EBIT | $203,700 | $157,400 | $131,000 | $133,000 | $138,300 | $140,000 | |||||
Assets | $115,000 | $102,000 | $83,200 | $38,000 | $38,900 | $40,200 | |||||
Operating liabilities | $34,500 | $34,500 | $26,000 | $9,100 | $9,300 | $9,600 | |||||
Number of outstanding shares | 27,250 | ||||||||||
Current share price | $20.91 | ||||||||||
Net debt | $240,000 | ||||||||||
WACC | 8% | ||||||||||
Inflation | 3% | ||||||||||
Effective tax rate | 40% | ||||||||||
Terminal growth rate | 3% | ||||||||||
Terminal date | Year 6 | ||||||||||
Extract from the reformatted income statement | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Tons of steel sold | 26,000 | 33,100 | |||||||||
Selling price per ton | $630 | $620 | |||||||||
Cost price per ton | $540 | $545 | |||||||||
Sales | $16,380,000 | $20,522,000 | |||||||||
Cost of goods sold | $14,040,000 | $18,039,500 | |||||||||
Gross profit | $2,340,000 | $2,482,500 | |||||||||
Sales, general, and admin costs | -$234,000 | -$248,250 | |||||||||
Operating expenses | -$1,962,000 | -$2,040,250 | |||||||||
EBIT | $144,000 | $194,000 | |||||||||
Extract from the reformatted balance sheet | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | ||||||||||
Accounts receivable | $1,723,400 | $2,241,000 | |||||||||
Inventory | $2,480,000 | $3,462,000 | |||||||||
Other current assets | $6,222,050 | $5,100,860 | |||||||||
Ending PPE (net) | $5,078,650 | $5,093,140 | |||||||||
Total assets | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
Accounts payable | $776,809 | $1,042,146 | |||||||||
Other current liabilities | $5,825,971 | $5,284,134 | |||||||||
Long-term operating liabilities | $3,941,020 | $3,942,420 | |||||||||
Capital | $4,960,300 | $5,628,300 | |||||||||
Liabilities and owner's equity | $15,504,100 | $15,897,000 | |||||||||
Answer the following questions based on this information in the corresponding answer tabs provided: | |||||||||||
Question 1 | |||||||||||
Calculate a five-year free cash flow for Steel Co., starting from Year 2. | |||||||||||
Question 2 | |||||||||||
Calculate the terminal value of the cash flow after Year 6. | |||||||||||
Question 3 | |||||||||||
Calculate the discounted cash flow value for Steel Co. | |||||||||||
Question 4 | |||||||||||
4.1 Use the valuation done as per Questions 1 to 3 and recommend whether to extend an acquisition offer and explain your decision (Max. words). | |||||||||||
4.2 Discuss how you would approach a sensitivity analysis on the valuation of Steel Co. by answering the following questions (Max. words): | |||||||||||
4.2.1 Identify the key parameters and assumptions that affect your DCF valuation of Steel Co. | |||||||||||
4.2.2 How will the following change the valuation (increase or decrease in the calculated value of Steel Co.)? | |||||||||||
An appreciation in the exchange rate (effect on exports and imports). | |||||||||||
A decrease in the demand for steel due to an economic downturn. | |||||||||||
Answer : Please review my homework carefully and suggest if this is correct
Answer # 1 :
Free cash flow projection | ||||||
Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | After Year 6 | |
EBIT | $203,700 | $157,400 | $131,000 | $133,000 | $138,300 | $140,000 |
Effective tax rate | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
After-tax EBIT | $122,220 | $94,440 | $78,600 | $79,800 | $82,980 | $84,000 |
Adjustments: | ||||||
MINUS Assets | $115,000 | $102,000 | $83,200 | $38,000 | $38,900 | $40,200 |
PLUS Operating liabilities | $34,500 | $34,500 | $26,000 | $9,100 | $9,300 | $9,600 |
Free cash flow | $41,720 | $26,940 | $21,400 | $50,900 | $53,380 | $53,400 |
Answer # 2 :
Calculate the terminal value of the cash flow after Year 6. | ||||||
Free cash flow projection | ||||||
After Year 6 | ||||||
EBIT | $138,300 | |||||
Effective tax rate | 40% | |||||
After-tax EBIT | $82,980 | |||||
Adjustments: | ||||||
MINUS Assets | $40,200 | |||||
PLUS Operating liabilities | $9,600 | |||||
Projected cash flow for the first year after maturity | $52,380 | |||||
WACC | 8% | |||||
Growth rate | 3% | |||||
Terminal value | $1,079,028 | |||||
Answer # 3 :
Free cash flow projection | |||||
Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | |
Free cash flow | $41,720 | $26,940 | $21,400 | $50,900 | $53,380 |
WACC | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Present value of FCF | $35,768 | $21,386 | $15,730 | $34,642 | $33,638 |
Sum of FCF PV | $141,164 | ||||
Terminal value | $1,099,628.00 | ||||
Present value of terminal value | $692,952 | ||||
Net debt | $240,000 | ||||
Equity value of company | $834,116 | ||||
Number of outstanding shares | 27,250 | ||||
Per-share fair value estimation | $30.61 |
Answer # 4 :
4.1 Use the valuation done as per Questions 1 to 3 and recommend whether to extend an acquisition offer and explain your decision (Max. words). | |||||||||||
Start writing here: [Upon conducting a thorough examination of the available information, it appears that Steel Co. may be undervalued in the market. Based on the discounted cash flow valuation method, the company's estimated worth is around $834,116, which surpasses its current market capitalization of $569,797.50. Furthermore, the per-share fair value estimation from the DCF analysis is $30.61, while the current share price is $20.91. These factors suggest that acquiring Steel Co. at a price near its market capitalization could potentially prove to be a beneficial opportunity with significant growth prospects. However, before making a final decision, it's crucial to consider other crucial factors, such as the strategic alignment of Steel Co. with the acquiring company's portfolio, potential synergies, and market conditions] [ Words] | |||||||||||
4.2 Discuss how you would approach a sensitivity analysis on the valuation of Steel Co. by answering the following questions (Max. words): | |||||||||||
4.2.1 Identify the key parameters and assumptions that affect your DCF valuation of Steel Co. | |||||||||||
Start writing here (Select any three): [The DCF valuation of Steel Co. heavily depends on various key parameters and assumptions that must be considered. These include the Free cash flow (FCF), projected to vary with changes in revenue, expenses, or taxes, directly impacting the company's valuation. Another crucial factor is the Terminal growth rate, which is assumed to be 3% in this case and plays a significant role in determining the terminal value and overall valuation. Adjusting the Discount rate (WACC), which represents the risk and required rate of return for the investment, would also affect the present value of the projected cash flows and consequently influence the company's valuation. Additionally, the Terminal date, Capital expenditures, and Operating expenses and margins are other essential considerations that can significantly impact the resulting valuation of Steel Co. Therefore, it is vital to carefully assess and analyze these factors to arrive at an accurate and informed valuation of the company.] [ Words] | |||||||||||
4.2.2 How will the following change the valuation (increase or decrease in the calculated value of Steel Co.)? | |||||||||||
An appreciation in the exchange rate (effect on exports and imports). | |||||||||||
Start writing here: In considering the potential impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Steel Co., it's worth noting that an appreciating rate could lead to increased revenue from exports. At the same time, however, it's important to be mindful of any negative effects on imports that could ultimately result in higher costs and reduced profitability. Maintaining careful oversight of these factors is key to ensuring the best possible outcome for the company. | |||||||||||
A decrease in the demand for steel due to an economic downturn. | |||||||||||
Start writing here: A decline in steel demand resulting from an economic downturn would likely have a negative impact on Steel Co.'s sales and revenue. The decrease in projected cash flows would consequently decrease the company's valuation. These factors hold significant importance when assessing the financial implications for Steel Co. An understanding of how exchange rate movements can affect the company's competitiveness in export markets, as well as the potential risks associated with increased costs from imports, is essential. Moreover, recognizing the potential impact of an economic downturn on steel demand is crucial for evaluating the company's future cash flows and ultimately determining its valuation. | |||||||||||
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