Question
You are the technical manager for a large company. You have two team members working for you, Jennifer and Salman. You randomly assign them to
You are the technical manager for a large company. You have two team members
working for you, Jennifer and Salman. You randomly assign them to technical problems
that are logged using the company's internal troubleshooting website.
You do not know who you assign to which problem, as the IT system automatically
completes this process. Historical data indicates that when you assign Jennifer to a
problem, she resolves it 95% of the time. The same data for Salman is 75%. Given this
information, answer the questions that follow.
You have just received a problem notification on the website and the system has
randomly assigned one of the team members to the problem. Given the random
assignation of the two employees to the problems, there is a 0.5 probability that the
assigned employee is Jennifer. It is standard protocol for you to follow up on the call after
the work has been completed. You have asked the customer who logged the call if they
were happy and if the problem has been resolved. The customer answered, "Yes." Given
this additional information, what is the revised probability that the call was handled by
Jennifer?
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