You currently have $3,700 in cash and you need to pay $4,900 back to a lender in 5 years. You want to invest your cash in a risky security and earn interest to be able to pay back, but there is uncertainty about the interest rate Suppose there are two possible scenarios: high uncertainty scenario and low uncertainty scenario. In the high uncertainty scenario, the interest rate is distributed normally with a mean of 6% and standard deviation of 3%. In the low uncertainty scenario, the interest rate is distributed normally with a mean of 6% and standard deviation of 0.5%. In which scenario do you face a higher probability of not being able to pay $4,800 back to the lender? The probability of not being able to pay is the same in these scenarios, because the mean return is 6% in both scenarios. High uncertainty scenario. Low uncertainty scenario. More information is needed to answer this